The year’s best food-and-football centric holiday also brings a great slate of games to bet on this week.
Personally, I am thankful for our picks last week, which went a tidy 8-5-1 against the spread to get us back on the right side of winning. I’m also thankful for home underdogs, double-digit lines, and the Philadelphia Eagles.
This week is an interesting one for gamblers, with three of the highest lines of the year on the board, so let’s get straight to the bets so we can make some money while we lounge around in a tryptophan haze on Thursday.
All lines courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook.
LAST WEEK: 8-5-1
Minnesota Vikings (-3) at Detroit Lions (Thursday, 12:30 p.m. ET)
The pick: Lions +3
The logic: This is a trap game for the Vikings if I ever saw one. Coming off a big win against one of the strongest teams in the NFC and traveling on a short week to play Matthew Stafford and a Lions team that plays well on Thanksgiving. Detroit wins this one outright.
Los Angeles Chargers (-1) at Dallas Cowboys (Thursday, 4:30 p.m. ET)
The pick: Cowboys +1
The logic: This game has gone through an absolutely terrifying amount of line movement over the past few days. After opening with the Cowboys as four-point favorites, the line has moved five points to make Dallas a slight underdog. This shift was driven by two things — a poor performance of the Cowboys on Sunday night, and an influx of money on the Chargers.
Scenarios like this leave bettors with a tough choice — you can either follow the money, and lay the point with the Chargers, comfortable in the knowledge that the high-roller bettors thought it to be the right side earlier in the week, or you can take advantage of the five-point swing Vegas is now spotting you on short notice.
When this game opened, I was ready to slam the Chargers — they could easily be one of the top teams in the AFC if not for their early season field-goal struggles, and the Cowboys have shown absolutely nothing on offense since the loss of Ezekiel Elliott. But with the swing, I’m going to take the five extra points, and hope for the best.
New York Giants (+7.5) at Washington Redskins (Thursday, 8:30 p.m. ET)
The pick: Redskins -7.5
The logic: The Giants won in dramatic, last-second fashion last weekend. The Redskins lost in dramatic, last-second fashion last weekend. Judging by the ebb-and-flow nature of NFL football, we’ll play the Redskins this week.